The Black Swan Referendum

| Paul Gailey

So last week, I had a moment where I thought out aloud.

I tweeted this:

I didn’t dwell any further to explain in detail what I was really thinking, until I was asked.
In the increasingly toxic atmosphere of the discussion around the UK European Referendum vote, a day before the heinous murder of Jo Cox, MP, I was referring to a Black Swan.

As I told Becky, who I met a few weeks ago at The Inbounder event in Valencia, I was referring to the phenomenon as explained by the author, former trader, and essayist of probability Nicholas Taleb, that rare events that have a significant impact, appear predictable in hindsight, as opposed to in foresight.

I trust that not only does the UK vote to remain in the European Union on Thursday 23rd June, but that the sentiment of #moreincommon prevails here on in.

..we are far more united and have far more in common with each other than things that divide us’ – Jo Cox, MP

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